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rectangle areas explain posterior probability · medical test with rare disease · P(A|B) = TP/B-strip · runs locally

P(A) prevalence
1.0%
P(B|A) sensitivity
99%
P(B|¬A) false pos.
5.0%
P(A|B) = P(B|A)·P(A) / P(B) =0.00990/0.05940=16.67%
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